AlphaLine — Find the edge.

WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · Spain win on Merino's injury-time goal·Settledwon

Spain

Portugal

Market price: Will Spain reach the quarter-final?

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id: esp-por-wc-r16·updated 0s ago

Market

54%

implied probability

AlphaLine

61%

true probability

Edge

+7.0%

market underpriced

Volume 24h

$3180.0K

across venues

Probability over time

Market

AlphaLine

Venue breakdown

consensus 54%

Robinhoodprimary

53%

-8.0%

$148.6K

DraftKings

55%

-6.0%

$74.2K

FanDuel

54%

-7.0%

$58.0K

Kalshi

55%

-6.0%

$11.7K

PredictIt

52%

-9.0%

$4.2K

Recent signal feed

streaming

12sSpain's bench depth vs a tiring Portugal midfield
2mSharp money +3.2% on opposing side
5mLine move detected on FanDuel
8mPublic sentiment 71% on favorite
14mOfficials confirmed crew (no over bias)

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