Live prediction markets— fetched via gamma-api
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generalhot
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes47¢
No53¢
generalhot
US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
Yes24¢
No76¢
generalhot
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Yes0¢
No100¢
generalhot
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Yes40¢
No60¢
generalhot
US Open ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley
Yes70¢
No30¢
generalhot
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes16¢
No84¢
Updates every 5 min6 active markets · sorted by 24h volume
Top edges right now— sorted by absolute edge
live
MLBReg. season · Thu 7:05 PM ET · Yamamoto vs Cole
Dodgers@
YankeesMarket51%→AlphaLine60%
Yamamoto 0.79 WHIP last 5; NYY lefty bats whiff 34% on the splitter
OpenMLBReg. season · Thu 7:20 PM ET · Wheeler vs Sale
Phillies@
BravesMarket48%→AlphaLine57%
Sharp money +2.6% on PHI road odds; ATL bullpen taxed
Open
WCWorld Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Thu 4:00 PM ET · Foxborough
France@
MoroccoMarket34%→AlphaLine42%
Sharp money creeping onto Morocco to advance +210 → +178
OpenMin edge0%
| Market | Market % | AlphaLine % | Edge | Signal | Volume | Updated | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLBReg. season · Thu 7:05 PM ET · Yamamoto vs Cole Dodgers @ Yankees Will Dodgers win in the Bronx? | 51% | 60% | +9.0% | Yamamoto 0.79 WHIP last 5; NYY lefty bats whiff 34% on the splitter Lineup shift | $168.4K | 14s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · Thu 7:20 PM ET · Wheeler vs Sale Phillies @ Braves Will Phillies win in Atlanta? | 48% | 57% | +9.0% | Sharp money +2.6% on PHI road odds; ATL bullpen taxed Sharp money | $121.9K | 33s ago | |
| WCWorld Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Thu 4:00 PM ET · Foxborough France vs Morocco — QF Will Morocco reach the semi-final? | 34% | 42% | +8.0% | Sharp money creeping onto Morocco to advance +210 → +178 Sharp money | $2.38M | 7s ago | |
  WCWorld Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Sat 5:00 PM ET · MiamiEngland vs Norway — QF Will Norway reach the semi-final? | 37% | 45% | +8.0% | Public piling on England; Haaland's form makes Norway live Sentiment | $1.46M | 34s ago | |
  WCWorld Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Fri 3:00 PM ET · SoFi StadiumSpain vs Belgium — QF Will Spain reach the semi-final? | 60% | 67% | +7.0% | Spain's midfield control; Belgium's high line exploitable Lineup shift | $1.29M | 21s ago | |
  WCWorld Cup 2026 · Quarter-final · Sat 9:00 PM ET · Kansas CityArgentina vs Switzerland — QF Will Argentina reach the semi-final? | 79% | 83% | +4.0% | Argentina full strength after Messi's R16 fightback; SUI first QF since 1954 Lineup shift | $1.18M | 48s ago | |
   NBANBA Finals · final OKC 121, NYK 108 · OKC leads 3-1wonThunder @ Knicks — Finals Game 4 Will Thunder win G4 on the road? | 43% | 54% | +11.0% | Sharp money +3.4% on OKC +road odds Sharp money | $2.15M | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · final NYY 6, STL 2wonYankees @ Cardinals Will Yankees win in St. Louis? | 46% | 57% | +11.0% | Cole 1.88 ERA last 7; STL LHH lineup vs RHP Lineup shift | $94.2K | 0s ago | |
   NHLWC Finals · final COL 4, ANA 2 · COL leads 3-2wonAvalanche @ Ducks — WCF Game 5 Will Avalanche win G5 in Anaheim? | 46% | 57% | +11.0% | Killorn out (upper body); Makar 1G/3A last 2 Injury | $312.6K | 0s ago | |
| NBANBA Finals · final OKC 109, NYK 101 · OKC leads 2-1won Thunder @ Knicks — Finals Game 3 Will Thunder win G3 at MSG? | 39% | 50% | +11.0% | Sharp handle +4.1% on OKC road odds Sharp money | $1.68M | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC Finals · final NYK 118, CLE 104wonCavaliers @ Knicks — ECF Game 1 Will Knicks win Game 1? | 58% | 69% | +11.0% | Mitchell GTD (ankle), MSG record edge Injury | $528.4K | 0s ago | |
 NBAWC R2 · final OKC 124, LAL 101wonLakers @ Thunder — R2 Game 1 Will OKC win Game 1? | 73% | 84% | +11.0% | Doncic ruled OUT, hamstring Injury | $412.9K | 0s ago | |
 NBAWC R1 · final HOU 99, LAL 93wonRockets @ Lakers — Game 5 Will Lakers close out in Game 5? | 64% | 53% | -11.0% | Reaves return on minutes cap Rest advantage | $184.3K | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · final NYM 5, LAD 3wonDodgers @ Mets Will Mets win at home? | 44% | 54% | +10.0% | Senga 9.4 K/9 last 6; Glasnow 3rd look vs NYM Lineup shift | $112.4K | 0s ago | |
  MLBReg. season · final TOR 7, MIA 1lostMarlins @ Blue Jays Will Marlins win? (Alcántara start) | 41% | 51% | +10.0% | Alcántara 2.85 last 4 starts Lineup shift | $49.2K | 0s ago | |
 WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · Norway stun BrazilwonNorway vs Brazil — Round of 16 Will Norway reach the quarter-final? | 29% | 38% | +9.0% | Public all over Brazil; model had Haaland + Norway live Sentiment | $3.64M | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · final SD 5, STL 2wonPadres @ Cardinals Will Padres win in St. Louis? | 47% | 56% | +9.0% | Sharp steam on SD +118 → +104; STL bullpen on fumes Sharp money | $71.6K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final PHI 4, LAD 3lost Dodgers @ Phillies Will Dodgers win in Philadelphia? | 44% | 53% | +9.0% | Yamamoto vs Wheeler — 4th-look regression flagged Lineup shift | $108.4K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final NYM 6, MIA 1won Marlins @ Mets Will Mets win at home? | 62% | 71% | +9.0% | Senga 1.94 ERA last 6; MIA bullpen overextended Lineup shift | $68.2K | 0s ago | |
| NBANBA Finals · final OKC 118, NYK 104 · OKC CHAMPIONSwon Knicks @ Thunder — Finals Game 5 Will Thunder win the championship tonight? | 76% | 85% | +9.0% | OKC home closeout; Brunson ankle in doubt Rest advantage | $3.84M | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · final CHC 4, STL 2wonCubs @ Cardinals Will Cubs win in St. Louis? | 46% | 55% | +9.0% | Sharp money +2.8% on CHC +road odds overnight Sharp money | $68.3K | 0s ago | |
 NHLStanley Cup Finals · final COL 3, FLA 2 · COL leads 2-0wonPanthers @ Avalanche — Cup Finals Game 2 Will Avalanche win G2? | 59% | 68% | +9.0% | Makar 29:44 TOI in G1; Bobrovsky .904 SV% Lineup shift | $618.4K | 0s ago | |
| NBANBA Finals · final OKC 118, NYK 104won Knicks @ Thunder — Finals Game 1 Will Thunder win Game 1? | 63% | 72% | +9.0% | OKC 2 extra days rest; NYK cross-country travel Rest advantage | $1.28M | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final LAD 6, CHC 1won Cubs @ Dodgers Will Dodgers win at home? | 58% | 67% | +9.0% | Buehler 1.94 ERA last 5; CHC 0-8 vs elite RHP Lineup shift | $87.4K | 0s ago | |
 NBAWC Finals · final OKC 138, DEN 118 · OKC wins 4-0wonNuggets @ Thunder — WCF Game 4 Will Thunder sweep Denver? | 74% | 83% | +9.0% | Murray limited in warmups (hamstring) Injury | $684.2K | 0s ago | |
| NBAEC Finals · final NYK 112, CLE 94 · NYK wins 4-0won Knicks @ Cavaliers — ECF Game 4 Will Knicks sweep Cleveland? | 44% | 53% | +9.0% | Public 61% CLE home stand; sharps on NYK Sentiment | $542.1K | 0s ago | |
 NHLEC Finals · final FLA 4, CAR 2 · FLA leads 2-1wonHurricanes @ Panthers — ECF Game 3 Will Panthers win G3? | 56% | 65% | +9.0% | Barkov back from maintenance day; Reinhart line +9 xGF Lineup shift | $178.4K | 0s ago | |
| NHLWC Finals · final ANA 3, COL 2 OT · ANA leads 2-1lost Avalanche @ Ducks — WCF Game 3 Will Avalanche win in Anaheim? | 48% | 57% | +9.0% | COL rest edge; Makar +5 xGF in 2 games Rest advantage | $124.7K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final NYY 7, NYM 3won Mets @ Yankees Will Yankees win the Subway Series? | 55% | 64% | +9.0% | Sharp steam on NYY -130 → -148 overnight Sharp money | $108.3K | 0s ago | |
 NHLWC R2 · final COL 4, DAL 2lostAvalanche @ Stars — R2 Game 7 Will Stars win Game 7? | 54% | 63% | +9.0% | Oettinger confirmed; COL D-pair shuffled Lineup shift | $187.3K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final NYM 6, PHI 4won Phillies @ Mets Will Mets win? (Senga vs Wheeler) | 46% | 55% | +9.0% | Senga 1.92 ERA / 11.1 K/9 last 5 Lineup shift | $96.7K | 0s ago | |
| NHLEC Finals · final FLA 3, CAR 1won Hurricanes @ Panthers — ECF Game 1 Will Panthers win Game 1? | 62% | 71% | +9.0% | FLA 5 days rest; Bobrovsky fully back Rest advantage | $158.2K | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC R2 · final NYK 119, PHI 104won76ers @ Knicks — R2 Game 7 Will Knicks win Game 7? | 64% | 73% | +9.0% | Embiid minutes restriction, MSG closeout Rest advantage | $418.6K | 0s ago | |
 NHLEC R2 · final FLA 4, TBL 1wonLightning @ Panthers — R2 Game 6 Will Panthers eliminate Tampa? | 59% | 68% | +9.0% | Bobrovsky cleared; TBL 4th-line shuffle Lineup shift | $142.3K | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC R2 · final CLE 118, DET 103lostCavaliers @ Pistons — R2 Game 1 Will Pistons win Game 1? | 36% | 45% | +9.0% | DET +9% momentum after 3-1 comeback Sentiment | $184.2K | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · final TEX 6, NYY 2wonYankees @ Rangers Will Rangers win? (deGrom start) | 55% | 64% | +9.0% | deGrom 1.84 ERA / 13.2 K/9 Lineup shift | $88.4K | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · settledwonCubs @ Diamondbacks Will Cubs win? | 47% | 56% | +9.0% | Imanaga 6.1 IP avg vs RHB Lineup shift | $36.9K | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC R1 · final CLE 125, TOR 120wonRaptors @ Cavaliers — Game 5 Will Cavaliers win Game 5? | 62% | 71% | +9.0% | Mitchell active, bench gap exploitable Lineup shift | $67.5K | 0s ago | |
  NHLEC R1 · PHI advancedwonPenguins @ Flyers — Game 6 Will Flyers eliminate Penguins? | 58% | 67% | +9.0% | Hart confirmed, Crosby line shuffled Lineup shift | $92.1K | 0s ago | |
 NHLWC R1 · final ANA 5, EDM 2wonOilers @ Ducks — Game 6 Will Ducks eliminate Oilers? | 53% | 62% | +9.0% | McDavid TOI trending down 1.4 min Rest advantage | $36.9K | 0s ago | |
 WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · England win 3-2 at the AztecawonEngland vs Mexico — Round of 16 Will England reach the quarter-final? | 58% | 66% | +8.0% | Mexico's Azteca altitude edge over-priced into the number Travel/B2B | $2.91M | 0s ago | |
 MLBReg. season · final BAL 4, TOR 3lostBlue Jays @ Orioles Will Blue Jays win in Baltimore? | 52% | 60% | +8.0% | Wind 12mph out to LF at Camden — total lean under-priced Weather | $58.3K | 0s ago | |
   UCLUCL Final · PSG win on pens 4-3 (AET 1-1) · PSG CHAMPIONSlostArsenal vs Paris S-G — UCL Final Will Arsenal win the Champions League? | 31% | 39% | +8.0% | Timber, Hakimi & Dembélé all confirmed fit — insider transfer Lineup shift | $4.28M | 0s ago | |
| NHLStanley Cup Finals · final COL 4, FLA 3 OTwon Panthers @ Avalanche — Cup Finals Game 1 Will Avalanche win Cup Finals G1? | 57% | 65% | +8.0% | COL 7 days rest; FLA 3 days off Rest advantage | $742.0K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final NYY 8, BAL 3won Orioles @ Yankees Will Yankees win at home? | 56% | 64% | +8.0% | Wind 14mph out to RF; BAL LHH-heavy Weather | $76.4K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final LAD 5, SD 1won Padres @ Dodgers Will Dodgers win? (Yamamoto start) | 64% | 72% | +8.0% | Yamamoto 0.84 WHIP last 4 starts Lineup shift | $142.5K | 0s ago | |
| NBAEC Finals · final NYK 116, CLE 98won Cavaliers @ Knicks — ECF Game 2 Will Knicks go 2-0? | 53% | 61% | +8.0% | Public 64% Cavs bounceback; sharps fading Sentiment | $84.9K | 0s ago | |
| NHLEC Finals · final CAR 2, FLA 1 (OT)won Panthers @ Hurricanes — ECF Game 2 Will Panthers win G2 in Carolina? | 46% | 38% | -8.0% | FLA back-to-back road, CAR home crowd Travel/B2B | $144.6K | 0s ago | |
| NHLWC R2 · final ANA 4, EDM 2won Oilers @ Ducks — R2 Game 4 Will Ducks take 3-1 lead? | 56% | 64% | +8.0% | McDavid TOI capped, EDM B2B Rest advantage | $58.2K | 0s ago | |
 NHLWC R2 · final COL 5, MIN 2wonWild @ Avalanche — R2 Game 2 Will Colorado win Game 2? | 64% | 72% | +8.0% | Georgiev IN net, Wedgewood pulled Lineup shift | $92.1K | 0s ago | |
| NHLEC R2 · final CAR 3, PHI 0won Flyers @ Hurricanes — R2 Game 1 Will Carolina win Game 1? | 62% | 70% | +8.0% | Carolina 4 days rest, PHI 1 Rest advantage | $124.8K | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC R1 · final NYK 126, ATL 97wonHawks @ Knicks — Game 5 Will Knicks win at home? | 59% | 67% | +8.0% | Brunson rest, ATL 3-pt regression Rest advantage | $201.3K | 0s ago | |
 NHLEC R1 · final MTL 3, TBL 2wonCanadiens @ Lightning — Game 5 Will Canadiens win Game 5? | 62% | 54% | -8.0% | Public 71% on Tampa, sharps on MTL Sentiment | $41.1K | 0s ago | |
 WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · Spain win on Merino's injury-time goalwonSpain vs Portugal — Round of 16 Will Spain reach the quarter-final? | 54% | 61% | +7.0% | Spain's bench depth vs a tiring Portugal midfield Lineup shift | $3.18M | 0s ago | |
| NHLWC Finals · final COL 5, ANA 2 · COL wins 4-2won Ducks @ Avalanche — WCF Game 6 Will Avalanche close out the series? | 72% | 79% | +7.0% | COL home ice; ANA exhausted after G5 OT Rest advantage | $284.9K | 0s ago | |
| NHLEC Finals · final FLA 3, CAR 0 · FLA wins 3-1won Hurricanes @ Panthers — ECF Game 4 Will Panthers close out Carolina? | 64% | 71% | +7.0% | FLA home ice; CAR backs against the wall Rest advantage | $164.9K | 0s ago | |
| NHLWC Finals · final COL 4, ANA 1 · series 2-2won Avalanche @ Ducks — WCF Game 4 Will Avalanche win G4 at home? | 67% | 74% | +7.0% | Makar 27:44 TOI; ANA struggling at altitude Lineup shift | $198.4K | 0s ago | |
| NBAWC Finals · final OKC 131, DEN 115won Nuggets @ Thunder — WCF Game 2 Will Thunder go 2-0? | 70% | 77% | +7.0% | Murray minutes load managed — 28 min cap Rest advantage | $498.3K | 0s ago | |
 NBAWC R2 · final DEN 117, DAL 109wonMavericks @ Nuggets — R2 Game 7 Will Nuggets win Game 7? | 67% | 74% | +7.0% | Murray cleared (calf), Jokic full minutes Lineup shift | $312.9K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final PHI 5, ATL 3lost Braves @ Phillies Will Braves win? | 51% | 58% | +7.0% | Wind 14mph in from CF Weather | $74.5K | 0s ago | |
| NHLWC R2 · final COL 9, MIN 6won Wild @ Avalanche — R2 Game 1 Will Colorado win Game 1? | 67% | 74% | +7.0% | Makar back at 100% Lineup shift | $41.1K | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC R1 · final PHI 109, BOS 100lost76ers @ Celtics — Game 7 Will Celtics win Game 7? | 64% | 71% | +7.0% | Maxey ankle, lingering from G6 Injury | $412.9K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final STL 3, LAD 2lost Dodgers @ Cardinals Will Dodgers win? | 71% | 78% | +7.0% | Sasaki K/9 13.4 vs RHB Lineup shift | $184.2K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final MIA 3, LAD 2lost Marlins @ Dodgers Will Dodgers win? | 67% | 74% | +7.0% | Steam on LAD -240 → -260 Sharp money | $128.7K | 0s ago | |
| NBANBA Finals · final NYK 114, OKC 108 · series 1-1lost Knicks @ Thunder — Finals Game 2 Will Thunder win Game 2? | 66% | 72% | +6.0% | OKC home again; NYK adjusted rotation Rest advantage | $1.41M | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final NYY 9, BAL 4won Orioles @ Yankees Will Yankees win at home? | 58% | 64% | +6.0% | Wind 11mph in from RF Weather | $88.4K | 0s ago | |
 NBAEC R1 · final DET 116, ORL 109wonMagic @ Pistons — Game 5 Will Pistons stay alive? | 38% | 32% | -6.0% | Wagner calf, downgraded to OUT Injury | $92.1K | 0s ago | |
| MLBReg. season · final TEX 3, NYY 0lost Yankees @ Rangers Will Yankees win at Texas? | 56% | 62% | +6.0% | Judge cleanup vs Texas LHP Lineup shift | $67.5K | 0s ago | |
| NBAWC Finals · final OKC 124, DEN 107won Nuggets @ Thunder — WCF Game 1 Will Thunder win Game 1? | 71% | 76% | +5.0% | OKC 6 days rest, DEN 1 day off cross-country Rest advantage | $612.8K | 0s ago |
Showing 69 of 69 markets
Updated 2s ago · refresh every 5s
Live signal feed
streaming
- WC·now+8% edgeSharp onto Morocco +210 → +178 to advance vs France
- MLB·12s+9% edgeYamamoto 0.79 WHIP last 5 — LAD at NYY tonight
- WC·1m+8% edgePublic 81% on England — model has Norway live (QF)
- WC·2m+7% edgeSpain's midfield control vs Belgium's high line
- MLB·3m+9% edgeSharp +2.6% on PHI road odds vs Braves
- WC·5mHaaland brace stunned Brazil — Norway carry over form
- MLB·6m+9% edgeNYY lefty bats whiff 34% on the splitter
- WC·8m+4% edgeArgentina full strength after Messi's R16 fightback
- MLB·11mCamden wind 12mph out to LF — TOR/BAL total lean
- WC·14m+8% edgeEngland edged Mexico 3-2 at altitude — Azteca R16
tick #14210 events visible
Track record · last 24h— settled markets
50W·13L·79.4% hit rate
WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · Norway stun BrazilNorway@BrazilM 29%→A 38%·+9.0%
WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · England win 3-2 at the AztecaEngland@MexicoM 58%→A 66%·+8.0%
WCWorld Cup 2026 · R16 · Spain win on Merino's injury-time goalSpain@PortugalM 54%→A 61%·+7.0%
MLBReg. season · final SD 5, STL 2Padres@CardinalsM 47%→A 56%·+9.0%
MLBReg. season · final BAL 4, TOR 3Blue Jays@OriolesM 52%→A 60%·+8.0%
UCLUCL Final · PSG win on pens 4-3 (AET 1-1) · PSG CHAMPIONSArsenal@Paris S-GM 31%→A 39%·+8.0%
MLBReg. season · final PHI 4, LAD 3Dodgers@PhilliesM 44%→A 53%·+9.0%
MLBReg. season · final NYM 6, MIA 1Marlins@MetsM 62%→A 71%·+9.0%
NBANBA Finals · final OKC 118, NYK 104 · OKC CHAMPIONSKnicks@ThunderM 76%→A 85%·+9.0%
How edge is calculated
Edge is the difference between the market's implied probability and AlphaLine's fair-value probability, modeled from real-time signals.Signal sources
Injury wires, official lineup feeds, weather APIs, public sentiment, and aggregated market microstructure.Disclaimer
AlphaLine is a research tool. Markets and probabilities are illustrative; not financial or wagering advice.