Disclosures
What AlphaLine is, what it isn't, and how to think about the numbers we publish.
What AlphaLine is
AlphaLine is a software-as-a-service tool that publishes our best estimate of a market's fair price — what we think the true probability of an outcome is, given current information. We are a research product. You can use the output however you want.
What AlphaLine is not
- We are not a sportsbook, exchange, prediction-market venue, or licensed financial broker.
- We do not place wagers or hold customer funds.
- We do not guarantee any outcome, edge, or return on capital. Past performance — including any track-record figures we publish — does not guarantee future results.
How fair prices are computed
Our model is trained on multi-season game-level data and updated against live signals: official lineup feeds, injury wires, public sentiment, weather, and aggregated market microstructure. The model's confidence varies by sport, market type, and how much information has settled before tip. We publish a confidence field with every market.
Conflicts of interest
- AlphaLine has a working partnership with predict.fun, including deep links and pinned venue placement on the market detail page. We disclose this on every page.
- Founders and employees may participate in prediction markets. We do not act on AlphaLine signals before they are visible to all paid users.
Affiliated venues
We display consensus prices from a number of public venues. Inclusion of a venue does not imply endorsement. AlphaLine does not receive a per-trade rev-share from any listed venue at this time; if that changes we will update this page and disclose it on the relevant market.
Regulatory status
AlphaLine operates as a software publisher in the United States. We do not facilitate wagers and are not regulated by gaming regulators or the SEC. Use of any third-party venue (predict.fun, sportsbooks, prediction markets) is subject to that venue's terms and your local laws.
Contact
Questions about disclosures: legal@alphaline.gg.